On Singularities

A computer, once again, outperformed a human in a highly specific task, this time around the game of Go, using, in part, a recent (well, not that recent, but also not “traditional”) AI technique known as Deep Learning.

The media, once again, made a splash, and some critics were quick to dismiss the feat by pointing to the limitations of Deep Learning (the wining algorithm also used more traditional AI methods).

Of course, the people on the forefront of Deep Learning know better than anyone about its limitations — they’re simply more faithful in it than others. Deep down (no pun intended), they probably don’t like such splashy news either, because it raises expectations, but we all understand the importance of advertisement (we live in a social, political world).

If history is of any guidance, the current hype will pass, as have many other AI hypes. It is not impossible that general AI will happen. Singularities do happen: this universe, self-replication, self-consciousness. But they seem to occur only every billion years or so.

Hence, in the big scheme of things, the last singularity happened just “yesterday,” and we will have to wait a whole lot for the next. Current AI progresses are admirable, and important, but as a society, we have to learn to look at them for what they really are: incremental steps.

Related: On the Higgs Boson Hysteria

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